The WNBA futures board this year is genuinely interesting, and not just because of Caitlin Clark. You’ve got a stacked Liberty squad that added a fourth All-Star, a defending champion Aces team with A’ja Wilson doing A’ja Wilson things, and two teams at the same +600 price where one is clearly the better bet. Plus a sleeper at +2200 that might be the most underrated line on the board.
The 2026 WNBA championship odds are already moving with the season underway. This post breaks down the full DraftKings futures board, makes the case for the bets I like, and tells you which chalk is a trap.
The Full 2026 WNBA Championship Odds Board
DraftKings is currently running a “without Connecticut” market, meaning the Sun, who are relocating to Houston after this season, are excluded. Here’s the full board:
| Team | DraftKings Odds |
|---|---|
| NY Liberty | +200 |
| LV Aces | +400 |
| IND Fever | +600 |
| ATL Dream | +600 |
| MIN Lynx | +900 |
| LA Sparks | +2000 |
| DAL Wings | +2200 |
| PHO Mercury | +3000 |
| GS Valkyries | +3000 |
| CHI Sky | +7000 |
| WAS Mystics | +12000 |
| TOR Tempo | +25000 |
| SEA Storm | +25000 |
| POR Fire | +50000 |
A quick note on the market structure: Connecticut is removed from this book because they’re playing out its final season before relocation. Everything above is the field minus them, which doesn’t change much given they were 500-1 in the standard market anyway.
The Liberty at +200: Still Worth a Unit
The New York Liberty are the correct favorite, and at +200, they’re still worth playing. That’s not a statement you can make about every team sitting at the top of a futures board.
This roster is genuinely unfair. Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jonquel Jones were already a top-three unit in the league. Then they added Satou Sabally – a two-time All-Star who averaged 17.4 points and 7.3 rebounds last season in Phoenix. Four All-Stars on one WNBA roster. The No. 1 overall seed has won the WNBA title in 8 of the last 10 seasons. New York will be the No. 1 seed. You do the math.
+200 is a little short. But futures aren’t about finding the best number in a vacuum – they’re about finding teams where the probability in your head is higher than the implied probability in the line. The implied probability at +200 is 33%. I’d put the Liberty’s real odds closer to 38-40%. That gap is a bet.
Half a unit here, maybe a full unit if you’re a WNBA believer.
Aces at +400: Respect the Champs
The Las Vegas Aces are the 2025 WNBA champions, and they’re right back in the conversation at +400. Three titles in five years. A’ja Wilson is arguably the best player in the league. As long as she’s healthy, you have to respect Las Vegas at any price under +500.
The knock on the Aces is that they lost some key depth in the offseason, and the Liberty’s talent ceiling is higher. Chelsea Gray just re-signed for three years and $3 million, which is the kind of continuity move that wins championships. This isn’t a fade. At +400, the Aces are the second-best team at the second-best price. Completely reasonable place to put a half unit if you want a Sabrina Ionescu-free path to a payout.
The Best Bet on the Board: Dream at +600
The Atlanta Dream at +600 is the pick I feel best about, and here’s why. The Fever is still at +600. Same price for a meaningfully different roster.
Atlanta just acquired Angel Reese from Chicago – a two-time All-Star who led the league in rebounding in both her WNBA seasons and averaged 13.1 points and 11.4 boards per game last year. They’re pairing her with Rhyne Howard, one of the most dangerous scorers in the league, and Allisha Gray, who is an elite two-way player. That’s three legitimate stars. Deep role players around them.
The Fever are also at +600, but they’re more Clark-dependent than Atlanta is on any single player. If Caitlin Clark has a cold stretch in the playoffs, Indiana is vulnerable. The Dream’s offensive and defensive versatility doesn’t have that single point of failure. Same price, more balanced team. Take the Dream.
The Speculative Play: Lynx at +900
The Minnesota Lynx at +900 is a bet with one very large condition attached: Napheesa Collier has to be healthy.
Collier suffered an ankle injury late last season that cost her the final stretch and lingered into the offseason. When Collier is on the floor and locked in, the Lynx are a legitimate contender – she’s a Defensive Player of the Year-level talent who also puts up 20 and 8 on a regular basis. Minnesota also added Olivia Miles in the draft, a shot-creator who gives them a different offensive dimension off the bench.
At +900, you’re getting a real contender at a price that reflects uncertainty. If Collier plays 30+ games healthy this season, this line will be shorter by midseason, and you’ll wish you bought in early. Small unit, high upside.
Don’t Sleep on Dallas at +2200
The Dallas Wings at +2200 are the dart throw on this board. Paige Bueckers just got to Dallas after a dominant college career, and she’s paired with Azzi Fudd – another elite scorer from the same Connecticut program. Two players with that level of chemistry and offensive instinct playing together in the pros for the first time is a wildcard.
Rookies don’t usually lead teams deep in WNBA playoffs. But Bueckers isn’t a typical rookie. She’s a 24-year-old with four years of elite college basketball, a national championship, and more big-game experience than most three-year WNBA veterans. If Dallas overachieves early and Bueckers proves she can create at the pro level, this line is going to move fast. A half unit at +2200 is basically a free bet if they bust out.
Who to Fade
Indiana Fever (+600): Not a value bet at this price. Clark is back, Kelsey Mitchell just signed a supermax deal worth $14 million, and the Fever are a real team – but they’re priced like a team that’s already made the finals. Caitlin Clark’s marketability has almost certainly pushed this line 50-100 points shorter than it would otherwise be. Take the Dream at the same number.
Phoenix Mercury (+3000): They lost Satou Sabally to the Liberty and haven’t replaced that production. Too long for a team that still has talent, too short to be a dart throw. Skip this one entirely – the line is stuck in no-man’s land.
GS Valkyries (+3000): Great story in 2025, their first year of existence. Second-year expectations are a different animal, and the league has had time to scout them. Fade.
Historical Context: WNBA Futures Trends
Eight of the last ten WNBA champions were the No. 1 overall seed when the playoffs began. That’s an unusually high retention rate compared to other professional sports leagues. The WNBA’s 14-game regular season (expanding to more games with the new schedule) makes it hard for top teams to lose their seeding, and the playoff format rewards the best regular-season team.
This matters for the futures board: teams with realistic shots at the No. 1 seed are worth more than their raw odds suggest, and teams that likely finish third or lower have to run a harder bracket. The Liberty are the most likely No. 1. The Aces and Fever are fighting for second. Everything after that gets complicated.
The Picks Summary
- NY Liberty +200 – 0.5 unit. Best team, still positive odds, worth a half unit.
- ATL Dream +600 – 1 unit. Best value on the board at this price tier. Same number as the Fever, better roster construction.
- MIN Lynx +900 – 0.5 unit. Speculative, conditional on Collier’s health. Buy in now before the line moves.
- DAL Wings +2200 – 0.5 unit. Paige Bueckers dart. Low cost, potential for a big number.
Fade the Fever at +600. Fade the Mercury at +3000. And if you’re going long-shot hunting, make it Dallas and not one of the expansion teams – there’s actual upside there.
The WNBA futures board is sharper this year than it’s been in a while. Get in before the season really heats up and these lines tighten.
